Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.252817 2.574815 2.927679 3.343257 3.819589 4.348834 4.981966
2025-08-03 1.734702 2.163670 2.677041 3.337585 4.166439 5.174048 6.495090
2025-08-10 1.440353 1.906770 2.499549 3.309986 4.392305 5.792382 7.748475
2025-08-17 1.225257 1.702492 2.339446 3.254533 4.540587 6.291286 8.868822
2025-08-24 1.100449 1.594778 2.283241 3.316037 4.833739 6.994222 10.324981
2025-08-31 0.997828 1.501339 2.229748 3.365579 5.102802 7.677090 11.813874
2025-09-07 0.895539 1.393944 2.140199 3.345440 5.257071 8.195288 13.099090
2025-09-14 0.800477 1.285398 2.034775 3.284816 5.335095 8.594638 14.228762
2025-09-21 0.726050 1.200322 1.955228 3.253219 5.450181 9.055544 15.496563
2025-09-28 0.658594 1.118901 1.872158 3.204680 5.527808 9.455868 16.695399
2025-10-05 0.647343 1.129738 1.941003 3.417036 6.066776 10.681696 19.454139
2025-10-12 0.604247 1.081017 1.903320 3.438851 6.271175 11.341464 21.260485
2025-10-19 0.572932 1.054226 1.908436 3.551378 6.676765 12.449514 24.119265
2025-10-26 0.525951 0.994876 1.850881 3.545868 6.869845 13.202038 26.424869
2025-11-02 0.481643 0.935208 1.785551 3.516478 7.010533 13.865423 28.629741
2025-11-09 0.438962 0.873798 1.709977 3.457473 7.083686 14.400656 30.634214
2025-11-16 0.415045 0.846663 1.697660 3.522917 7.415168 15.490360 33.939977
2025-11-23 0.392006 0.818703 1.680464 3.575634 7.724642 16.566754 37.350642
2025-11-30 0.363894 0.777158 1.631068 3.554204 7.871212 17.309947 40.106493
2025-12-07 0.334650 0.730125 1.565325 3.489697 7.914483 17.829607 42.409813
2025-12-14 0.310901 0.692586 1.516032 3.456076 8.022968 18.505925 45.167726
2025-12-21 0.287922 0.654412 1.461510 3.404429 8.083254 19.076513 47.739120
2025-12-28 0.287691 0.667864 1.523442 3.630390 8.827514 21.343346 54.845151